East and North - How would Luxembourg vote today?
(sth) - DP and LSAP would be the biggest losers in the electoral districts in the East and North of Luxembourg if elections were to be held this Sunday. They would each lose one seat (DP in the East, LSAP in the North), which would go directly to the CSV, showing a clear disagreement with government politics in favour of the conservative opposition.
The electoral districts East and North are the least populated areas in Luxembourg and consequently have the smallest number of seats in the "Chambre des Députés", seven for the East and nine for the North out of a total of 60.
Results from the East
612 people were surveyed in the East. The biggest changes that can be perceived are a gain of 3.1% for the CSV and a loss of 5.6% for the DP, which would translate into a transfer of one seat between both parties, putting CSV at four seats and DP at one, while Déi Gréng and LSAP would remain at one seat, compared to 2013.
Despite winning some small percentage points, Déi Lénk (up to 5.1% from 3.1%) and ADR (up from 9.3% from 8.7%) would not be able to reach the necessary votes for one seat. KPL, Piratepartei and PID would remain largely insignificant as to the results in the East at this moment in time.
Results from the North
742 persons were surveyed in the North and the results show similar tendencies compared to the East. While it is still the CSV that gains most (+7.2%) and the DP has to suffer a hard blow (-7.4%), it is the LSAP that loses 3.2% and one seat. This one seat goes to the CSV, while the DP can keep its two seats under these circumstances thanks to Luxembourg's electoral system that attributes remaining seats according to the D'Hondt model. The CSV would thus end up with five seats, followed by the DP with two seats and Déi Gréng and LSAP with one seat each.
Déi Lénk and ADR also see some slight improvement in the North, while KPL, Piratepartei and PID have a negative tendency and stay at very low scores. None of these parties would therefore see themselves awarded with a seat in Parliament in the current situation.
The "Sonndesfro" (Sunday question) is a survey asking Luxembourg's citizens who they would vote for, were the elections taking place this Sunday. You can find the results for the first two electoral districts (East and North) here. The results for the electoral districts Centre and South will be published in the coming days, along with the aggregate results and projected coalitions. The "Sonndesfro" was commissioned by "Luxemburger Wort" and "RTL" and carried out by TNS Ilres.
A total of 4,078 citizens aged over 18 and having the right to vote in the general elections have been surveyed in the whole of Luxembourg, relative to the population of the four different electoral districts. The survey was carried out via telephone between end of June 2016 and beginning of December 2016. Interviewees were asked to indicate which party they voted for during the last general elections on October 20, 2013, and which party they would vote for if they had the chance to do so coming Sunday.