105,000 potential new voters in Luxembourg
105,000 new voters could potentially join Luxembourg's electoral register if a proposal enabling foreign residents to vote finds favour with Luxembourgers.
On June 7, Luxembourgers will vote in a referendum to decide, among other things, whether or not to allow foreign residents who meet certain criteria to vote in legislative elections.
According to figures published by STATEC, potentially 105,000 foreign residents meet the 10-year residency criterion being proposed.
While only 35,000 foreign residents meet a second criterion of having voted in a communal or European election in Luxembourg, the study authors said that as the next communal elections take place before the legislatives, this could still change.
“Foreign residents who have lived here for 10 or more years could still fulfil this condition,” the report read.
75% in private sector
The study took figures from the 2011 census, which found that 51.2 percent of foreign residents had been living in the country for 10 or more years.
It applied this proportion to the total population given at the beginning of 2015 to calculate the new number of potential voters of 105,000.
Among this potential electorate, the study revealed that the largest nationality group represented was Portuguese (42.1 percent), followed by Italian (12.7 percent), French (11.2 percent), Belgian (8.2 percent) and German (5.6 percent).
Three quarters of the potential electorate were employed in the private sector, compared to just half of the actual Luxembourg electorate, meanwhile 60 percent of this new potential electorate were in employment.
If all 105,000 potential voters were to meet the second criteria and then vote in the next national elections, it would mean that more than three quarters (78 percent) of over 18s resident in the country would participate.
But, with so many factors at play, including a third criteria in which foreign residents must then register in order to vote, the scenario of welcoming 105,000 new voters seems unlikely, an idea echoed by the study's authors. “The exact number (of potential voters) will depend on the behaviour of the potential foreign electorate.”
To view the study (in French), click here
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