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Powell approved by Senate to succeed Yellen as Fed chair
Bipartisan support

Powell approved by Senate to succeed Yellen as Fed chair

by Bloomberg 3 min. 24.01.2018 From our online archive
US Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell confirmed with broad bipartisan support in Senate to take helm of US central bank when Chair Janet Yellen's term ends
Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powel  (AFP)

Lawmakers in the US voted 84-13 in favour of the former private-equity executive, widely seen as a choice for policy continuity who President Donald Trump picked in November to replace Yellen, the first woman to lead the Fed. Dianne Feinstein, a Democrat from California, changed her vote from yes to no after the initial tally was announced.

Powell’s confirmation as Fed chair comes amid broader changes in the leadership of the US central bank. The White House is looking at potential candidates to fill the vice chair slot, vacant since Stanley Fischer retired in October, and a search is under way to find a successor New York Fed President William Dudley, who plans to step down in mid-2018.

In selecting the former Carlyle Group managing director, Trump broke a three-decade bipartisan practice of presidents renominating the Fed chair they inherited from the president of the other party. Trump did, however, install a solid supporter of Yellen's gradual approach to raising interest rates and someone who sympathises with White House calls to ease bank rules imposed after the US financial crisis.

Powell, 64, has never voted against the chair since joining the Fed in 2012 and sided with the dovish wing at the central bank during his 28 November Senate confirmation hearing, suggesting there may still be more room for the labour market to run.

"There may be more slack, more people that can come back to work. I think we are looking at an economy that is going to go under 4% unemployment," he said.

US unemployment in December was 4.1%, the lowest level since 2000.

Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powel with President Donald Trump (AFP)
Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powel with President Donald Trump (AFP)

Yellen’s term as chair ends on 3 February and she will lead the next meeting of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee on 30-31 January. The Fed has penciled in three more rate increases in 2018, according to projections released 13 December, while it sees tax cuts that Trump signed last month providing a short-term stimulus to the economy that will lift growth to 2.5% this year, compared with 2.1% forecast in September.

Among the no votes were four Republicans, including Marco Rubio from Florida and Texas’s Ted Cruz, as well as Massachusetts Democrat Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, an Independent from Vermont.

Powell will need to judge if this pace of policy tightening is sufficient while watching inflation, which has remained below the Fed’s 2% target for most of the last five years and is only forecast to creep toward that goal by the end of 2018.

Inflation concerns

Some US central bankers are already concerned that the conditions are ripe for price pressures to accelerate and are also wary that low Fed rates could fan excess risk-taking by investors that could stoke an asset bubble.

Powell acknowledged that "low-for-long interest rates can have adverse effects on financial institutions and markets," in a speech last January. "Historically, recessions often occurred when the Fed tightened to control inflation. More recently, with inflation under control, overheating has shown up in the form of financial excess," he said.

Powell's confirmation also cements Trump's stamp on the Fed. With Yellen's departure, he will have an opportunity to name at least three more people to the seven-seat Board in Washington, subject to Senate confirmation. He has already picked Randal Quarles, a former US Treasury official under President George W. Bush, to be Fed vice chairman for supervision and nominated Carnegie Mellon University economist Marvin Goodfriend to be a governor.

At his Senate Banking Committee hearing earlier on Tuesday, Goodfriend didn’t receive as much bipartisan support that Powell has enjoyed.